An Analytical Network Process model for risks prioritisation in megaprojects
نویسندگان
چکیده
Megaprojects are complex and expensive projects that often involve social, technical, economic, environmental and political (STEEP) challenges to project management. Despite these challenges, project owners and financiers continue to invest large sums of money in megaprojects that run high risks of being over schedule and over budget. While some degree of cost and schedule risks are considered during project planning, the challenge of modelling risks interactions and impacts on project performance still remains. To tackle this technical problem, this research adopted the Analytical Network Process and combined it with a new Risk Priority Index as an innovative approach to model risks analytically based on data collected from the Edinburgh Tram Network project at the construction phase. The approach provides an interactive way for developers to prioritise risks across the project supply network and to initiate timely mitigation strategies against significant cost and time consequences of STEEP risks on megaproject performance. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. APM and IPMA. All rights reserved.
منابع مشابه
House of Improvement Model to Enhance Prioritisation of Solutions in Decision Making: a Case Study
The decision making on selection of improvement solutions was one of the obstacles hampering the success of process improvement. This paper presents the House of Improvement (HOI) model as a guideline to link decision criteria for the prioritisation of improvement solutions. Three phases in the HOI are applied to facilitate selection and to ensure that suitable and value-added solutions are cho...
متن کاملA New Extended Analytical Hierarchy Process Technique with Incomplete Interval-valued Information for Risk Assessment in IT Outsourcing
Information technology (IT) outsourcing has been recognized as a new methodology in many organizations. Yet making an appropriate decision with regard to selection and use of these methodologies may impose uncertainties and risks. Estimating the occurrence probability of risks and their impacts organizations goals may reduce their threats. In this study, an extended analytical hierarchical proc...
متن کاملIdentification and ranking risks of horizontal directional drilling for oil & gas wells by using fuzzy analytic network process, a case study for Gachsaran oil field wells
Risk ranking of Horizontal Directional Drilling (HDD) for gas and oil wells is a key criterion in the project feasibility, pricing and for introducing a risk management strategy that aims to reduce the number of failures in the installation phase and its negative consequences. HDD is currently widely used in drilling wells in Iran, but research in the area of identification and risks ranking of...
متن کاملSuppliers Selection in Consideration of Risks by a Neural Network
Faced with the dynamic demands of a changing market, companies are facing fierce competition, which forces them to consider more and more new approaches to improve quality, reduce costs, produce on time, control their risks and remain successful in the face of any disruption. It is clear that the choice of appropriate suppliers is one of the key factors in increasing the competitiveness of comp...
متن کاملThe Applying ISM/FANP Approach for Appropriate Location Selection of Health Centers
The main purpose of this paper is to present a fuzzy multi-criteria decision making (FMADM) model for appropriate location selection of a health center. Therefore, we identify sixteen criteria and sub-criteria for selecting a health center location. These criteria and sub-criteria have been obtained from literature reviews and practical interviews. This paper proposes a method which combines th...
متن کامل